Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Tombense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 1
AMF
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
TOM
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
TOM
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
4 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
TOM
79%
14%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CRZ
2 - 0
UBE
79%
16%
5%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POA
0 - 2
CRZ
12%
23%
65%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRZ
11%
23%
66%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
CRZ
11%
24%
66%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 2
AMF
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |