Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 2
UAP
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TOL
4 - 0
LOB
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CIM
1 - 3
QRO
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 1
QRO
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
QRO
1 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
QRO
2 - 3
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
CSH
4 - 0
QRO
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |