Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 2
MAZ
70%
16%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 2
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PUM
2 - 0
PUE
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 0
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PUM
0 - 0
QRO
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
NYC
1 - 1
PUM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PUM
1 - 3
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |