Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 1
TOL
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 0
AUR
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
PUE
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |