Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 2
TIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
TOL
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
ATS
0 - 1
PAC
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
MAZ
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AME
1 - 3
PAC
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 2
QRO
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
PAC
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |