Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 3
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 1
MOR
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
MOR
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |