Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 3
PAC
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 2
TIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AME
1 - 2
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 0
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
JUA
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
MAZ
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |