Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
QRO
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
LEO
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
PUM
59%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
4 - 1
LEO
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |