Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAZ
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 2
LEO
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
LEO
3 - 2
AME
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 1
MAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 2
LEO
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |