Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 5
TOL
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AME
5 - 1
TOL
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
ATS
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATS
0 - 1
CHI
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
QRO
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
PUE
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |