Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 3
PAC
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 2
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |