Toluca vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 1
QRO
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 1
TOL
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JUA
3 - 1
PUM
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
JUA
2 - 1
PAC
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JUA
0 - 1
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 0
JUA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |