Toluca vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 2
PAC
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AME
3 - 0
JUA
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
JUA
0 - 1
PUM
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
TIJ
1 - 0
JUA
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
JUA
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |