Toluca vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
ATS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 2
MAZ
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 1
NEC
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ATS
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |