Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 5
PAC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 2
CAZ
13%
19%
68%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |