Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 5-8
Toluca vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 2
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TOL
4 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 3
TOL
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 2
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 6
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
7 - 1
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
JAG
0 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |