Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
TIJ
1 - 2
TIG
31%
29%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TIJ
3 - 0
CSH
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SDL
0 - 1
TIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIJ
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 3
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
5 - 3
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |