Tijuana vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TIJ
1 - 0
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 3
PAC
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 1
CIM
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
UAT
0 - 1
TIJ
16%
21%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 1
MOR
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
MOR
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |