The Strongest vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
STR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
CMV
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
STR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 0
TAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
CFC
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 2
DEP
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
ATP
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |