Ternana Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
TER
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TER
0 - 3
VER
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASC
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |