Tajikistan vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
TJK
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
JOR
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 1
ARE
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
2 - 1
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
QAT
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
TJK
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAU
0 - 0
THA
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KGZ
0 - 2
SAU
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 1
OMN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |