Taubaté vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
TAU
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OES
0 - 0
TAU
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
TAU
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 3
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOV
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OES
1 - 0
NOV
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 1
NOV
13%
20%
66%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |