Tapajós vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tapajós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BPA
0 - 0
TAP
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TAP
1 - 0
BPA
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAP
1 - 1
SCI
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REM
2 - 0
TAP
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 1
TAP
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 0
TUN
33%
24%
44%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
AGU
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
UNI
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 0
AGU
23%
27%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AGU
6 - 1
SAO
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |