Tamworth vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 4
TAM
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
TAM
4 - 1
ALF
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
TAM
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 2
TAM
61%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 2
TOW
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALF
31%
22%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 4
KID
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CUR
2 - 3
ALT
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 3
BRA
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALT
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |