Tacoma Defiance vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 0
SAC
26%
24%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TAC
2 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
TAC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
TAC
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
REN
3 - 2
TAC
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 2
LVG
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
POR
2 - 5
REN
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
REN
3 - 2
TAC
82%
12%
7%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |