Swindon Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LEY
1 - 3
SWI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
SWI
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
COL
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
WAL
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
GIL
2 - 3
COL
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
CRY
0 - 0
COL
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |