Swansea Sub 23 vs Man. City Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
BLA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 0
SWA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SWA
0 - 1
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
EVE
0 - 0
SWA
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 2
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 0
MCI
23%
21%
56%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
BHA
5 - 0
MCI
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
WHU
4 - 6
MCI
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |