FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-3
Swansea City vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 3
SWA
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
SWA
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 2
BUR
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SWA
4 - 0
WAT
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
SWA
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
BIR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
SWA
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
COV
1 - 1
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
WBA
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |