SK Super Nova vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
18%
75.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
KTE
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
75%
18%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KTE
2 - 1
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 6
CAR
19%
25%
57%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |