Submarino vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
13.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Submarino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
3 - 1
SUB
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SUB
3 - 2
ZCD
91%
7%
3%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 3
SUB
24%
19%
57%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SUB
2 - 0
SAL
85%
9%
6%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEB
3 - 2
SUB
24%
18%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZCD
1 - 1
CAS
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
SAL
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CBO
4 - 0
CAS
25%
21%
55%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 1
CAS
40%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |