Conference League 1/16
Global 5-1
Sturm Graz vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
RBS
1 - 1
STR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
AUS
39%
24%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
RYV
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SKD
1 - 2
STR
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
STR
1 - 6
POG
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ZIL
0 - 4
SBR
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
WAK
1 - 4
SBR
21%
21%
58%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 2
SBR
18%
20%
62%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SBR
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |