Conference League Last 16
Global 1-4
Sturm Graz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
STR
4 - 0
WOL
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
STR
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SBR
0 - 1
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
STR
4 - 1
SBR
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
REI
0 - 1
LIL
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TFC
3 - 1
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
LHA
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |