Strasbourg vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
14º
13º
59
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 2
STR
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
REI
2 - 1
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
PSG
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
3 - 0
KLA
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 0
LIL
22%
27%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |