Stoke City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 2
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MID
3 - 0
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
STO
2 - 0
WYC
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
ROT
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
QPR
3 - 2
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
BBU
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |