Stevenage vs Swansea Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
YEO
2 - 0
STE
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
STE
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
STE
1 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 1
STE
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 3
STE
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Swansea Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
SWA
2 - 3
CHA
19%
19%
62%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 2
SWA
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
SWA
44%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
SWA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
SWA
1 - 1
COV
28%
23%
50%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |