Stevenage vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STE
1 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DOV
0 - 2
STE
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
WAT
11%
22%
67%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
STE
1 - 0
CRY
9%
19%
72%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WYC
1 - 0
STE
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LUT
3 - 0
POS
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 3
BHA
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 1
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 3
LUT
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
BED
0 - 5
LUT
5%
13%
82%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |