Stade Brestois vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
7 - 0
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
NAN
3 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
MET
3 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
LHA
0 - 0
LIL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
GIR
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |