Stabæk II vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
13º
9º
33
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
91% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 42 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
67% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 2
STA
37%
20%
43%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
RFK
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 1
STA
8%
14%
78%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
STA
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
ROS
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 1
TIL
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 4
LIL
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
STR
11%
14%
75%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
5 - 3
LIL
43%
21%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 5
BYA
16%
18%
67%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |