St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
5º
5º
68
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
STM
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
STM
1 - 2
GLA
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
STM
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STM
1 - 2
HOM
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HOM
4 - 2
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |