St. Mirren vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
STM
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
STM
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
KIL
2 - 1
STM
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
STM
0 - 3
DUN
23%
25%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
STM
2 - 1
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
78%
14%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
RBS
2 - 2
CEL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
CEL
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |