Sambenedettese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
SSS
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SSS
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 1
SSS
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 0
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
REC
4 - 0
MAT
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 3
REC
25%
28%
47%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
REC
3 - 1
ASD
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
REC
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
REC
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |