Kauno Žalgiris vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 5
ZAL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
KZA
23%
27%
51%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 0
KZA
11%
21%
69%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
BAN
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 3
HLI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
TRA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 1
FAS
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
FAS
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |