Sportivo Peñarol vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
JUU
0 - 0
SPE
47%
29%
25%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIN
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
SPE
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 2
CDA
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SDM
1 - 0
SPE
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
JUU
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 1
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
CDC
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
SDM
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |