Sportivo Peñarol vs Ciudad De Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
8º
9º
59
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 1
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
CSE
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPE
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
IND
3 - 0
CIB
82%
13%
4%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 1
CDA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 3
CIB
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
CIB
53%
27%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
DHA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |