Sportivo Peñarol vs Ciudad De Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 3
OLI
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
SPE
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 0
SDM
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
HHE
2 - 2
SPE
53%
27%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 0
DCA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CIB
4 - 0
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CIB
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CIB
2 - 2
VIL
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
CIB
56%
24%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CIB
1 - 3
FER
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |