Sporting Mêda vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mêda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 1
SPO
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 4
PAR
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
7 - 1
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ESP
7%
15%
77%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CES
0 - 2
GON
24%
27%
50%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 0
CES
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CES
1 - 2
PED
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
COI
2 - 2
CES
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CES
0 - 1
GAF
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |