Sporting CP vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 2
SCP
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 1
MOR
69%
19%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 7
SCP
4%
11%
85%
|
83 | 27 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 4
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SCP
4 - 0
TON
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
FAM
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 4
PAÇ
5%
13%
83%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |