Sporting CP vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
7º
1º
37
7º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
YOB
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
SCP
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FAR
0 - 1
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
FAR
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 3
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |