Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
SCP
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPB
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
26%
24%
49%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
BEL
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 4
SLB
4%
11%
85%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |