Champions League Fase Final Last 16
Global 1-12
Sporting CP vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
47%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 3
SPB
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
SCP
4 - 1
FCP
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
SCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BYM
1 - 2
KOL
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
HSV
1 - 0
BYM
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
STU
1 - 5
BYM
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |